2024 Election Path Analysis

This page let's you explore the correlations in the upcoming 2024 Presidential election, as per Nate Silver's final run, with accurate needles, as explained in this blog post [link]. This won't update live, but you can click the swing states as the results come in, or if you want to explore the correlations yourself.

Win Probability

Harris
0.0%
probability
Trump
0.0%
probability
Harris
219
Electoral Votes
vs
Trump
319
Electoral Votes
51 more needed for Harris victory, 44 more needed for a Trump victory

Swing States

Most Likely Scenarios

AZ GA MI NC NV PA WI EVs Probability